optimize their productivity and gain a competitive edge. total freight tonnage will grow from an estimated 15.1 billion tons in 2021 to 19.3 billion tons in 2032a 28% increase; while truck's share of the freight tonnage will slowly decline from 72.2% in 2021 to 71% in 2032overall volumes will grow across all segments of the industry: truckload, less-than-truckload and private carrier. We kind of have to redefine what a recession is, he said. "Trucking demand today is higher than it was in 2018, but that's only half the picture," Miller noted. Written by:MarketingPublished on:December 20, 2022, Categories: Recent News, Thought Leadership, Transflo Blog. Truck industry statistics and growth forecasts for 2023 Robinson Alzate Senior Manager of Business Development at Trans4 Group Ltd Published Jan 10, 2023 + Follow Market volatility may. Incorporating Data Analytics; 1.4 4. FTR has its own version of GDP, which it calls the GDP Goods Transport Sector, adjusting GDP for freight-specific factors. The industry experienced a decline in 2019, however, many believe that it is likely to turn around and experience a gradual increase due to new developments. FreightWaves recently published a few articles detailing their thoughts on what 2023 has in store. Join 80,000 trucking professionals who get helpful insights and important news delivered straight to their inbox with the CCJ newsletter. Get to know Trans Plus and what drives us. developments. The internet has become an integral part of our lives, and the trucking industry is not exempt from this phenomenon. function in 2023. To meet this demand, companies are investing in new technologies and innovative delivery options, such as drones and robots, to ensure that they can deliver goods as quickly and efficiently as possible. The industry is expected to see an increase in demand for specialized services and an overall increase in shipping volume. With this growth, revenue in the industry is projected to rise 66 percent. And with the current state of affairs in the world, it doesnt look like fuel prices are going to be decreasing anytime soon. Transportation professionals are no strangers to the rise and fall of economic conditions over the years. A market flip is expected to emerge in the coming year. incredible changes and progress in many industries worldwide. Trucking Industry Trends All the trucking industry trends are indeed likely to influence the entire US trucking industry in 2023. For trucking, technology will be key in allowing you to create a stable environment for 2023. To further cut back on fuel expenses, it is recommended to invest in electric vehicles. Image: Jim Allen (FreightWaves) Despite economic conditions taking a dive due to COVID-19, the trucking market has persisted and looks to remain on an upward trajectory heading into 2021. One example of how technology has improved the trucking industry is through fleet management systems. This means that there will be plenty of opportunities for companies that specialize in these areas. The retail companies are moving fewer goods, causing several trucking companies to shut down because of no work. Market sizes from 2018 to 2028 reflect industry trends and growth patterns. Trucking companies need to be aware of the expenses In recent months, many trucking companies have been forced to close FTR's GDP Goods Transport Sector looks at the parts of the GDP that affect freight. FTR threw its 2023 market prediction hat into the ring during a recent online press conference that discussed the findings of its State of Freight report, a comprehensive analysis of the current state of the transportation industry with a focus on the trucking and logistics sector. It is one of the greatest expenses that companies have to bear. industry by aiding companies that are struggling and may go under if current The rising fuel costs have always been a major concern for trucking companies. But, this does not necessarily equate to what happens to capacity. This stabilization will help the delays that the pandemic left and allow companies to get back on track. The trucking industry was a $875.5 billion industry in that same year, representing 80.8% of the nation's freight bill. In fact, theres a whole new list of trends likely to appear in 2023 and influence the industry as a whole. With the help of these innovative tools, businesses are able to COPYRIGHT 2021 | BERGEY TRUCK CENTER | ALL RIGHTS RESERVED | DESIGNED & POWERED BY. On the other hand, if you are an owner-operator/manager this technology will help you reduce costs, improve driver safety, reduce risk, increase productivity, schedule preventative maintenance to minimize downtime, etc. So what about the capacity side of the supply-demand equation? merchandise. Discover how Trans Plus has helped companies. Autonomous trucks have the potential to greatly reduce the need for human drivers, and many companies are investing in research and development to advance the technology. Heres our list of the top trends to expect in 2023. Theres significant [driver] turnover, even during a downturn., From September: What Economic, Trucking Numbers Tell Us About Recession Likelihood. Software designed to assist 3PL providers. Maintenance: While fleets with in-house maintenance facilities will continue to struggle with the growing technician shortage, there is always the option to consider bringing in the expertise of an OEM dealership to manage your shop. The Consumer Price Index, a measurement of what consumers pay for goods and services, skyrocketed in June to 9.1% but has been falling since, with the federal government raising interest rates to cool the overheated economy. This is particularly interesting because as the economy grows and recovers, one would expect that freight would grow as a result. This means that you can use cutting-edge tools to help your business grow while also keeping your costs down. In conclusion, the trucking industry is expected to face some challenges as a shortage of drivers and regulatory changes, as well as opportunities as the adoption of autonomous trucks and sustainable practices. Shift In Production Locations 5) 5. As of June 22, Daimler Truck Holding AG Board chairman, Martin Daum, said that his team continues to face "enormous" supply chain pressures including cost rises, but also added that he's "pretty confident" for 2023 because of underlying demand and the industry's ability to handle price increases. Our trucking course gives you the opportunity to gain knowledge, develop skills and get hands-on instructions that will help you start your new career! Even though this is not a new concept, drone deliveries are becoming part of major . Investments in technologies, like TMS software, will be more necessary than ever before to keep your business competitive amid rising fuel costs. Due to the closure of these companies, thousands of truckers are left unemployed. "The strongest predictor of a true recession is how the labor market behaves," Miller said. Sara Naveed is a creative and digital content writer who uses her creative skills to develop and edit professional web content. Several vehicles are being developed with technology that can send information to a source regarding the route and business operations they are involved in. incredibly low, so much so that truckers earn far less than the average Technology designed with the Professional Driver in mind. The softening of freight tonnage in the last few months means fleets that have fewer trucks than usual could see improved utilization, adding to a much-needed stronger bottom line. 2023 can be a source of better earnings for most truckers if the industry thrives. The trucking industry has been through many changes in recent years, with the pandemic causing major disruptions, the economy struggling, fuel prices fluctuating, and new technologies emerging. Built-in integration with TMS providers and boasts plug and play engineering to support third-party apps and easily link with your existing enterprise systems. The American Transportation Research Institute notes that volatile and increasing insurance premiums are of major concern. As the country approaches the latter half . In the past few years, trucking has seen a major shift in how its viewed. Trailers: If you use dry freight trailers in your operations, getting new trailers or adding to your trailer fleet will also be a challenge. Several vehicles are being developed with technology that can send information to a source regarding the route and business operations they are involved in. For 2023, it is expected that capacity issues will decrease as companies plan their movements better and allocate their trucks where they are needed the most. All of these developments will likely alter how the trucking industry will December 9, 2022 2023 ACT Expo fleet-focused sessions will cover zero-emission infrastructure, . what the industry had in the past. The concept of real-time tracking has allowed many trucking companies to keep track of their shipments, vehicles, and drivers. And while it may be the top economic concern, Miller said a looming recession is not necessarily inevitable. Then, the trucking companies started to charge less for the fear of not being able to find any work at all. result. Despite all the struggles and challenges the industry had to go through, many experts are still optimistic about 2023 and believe the industry is likely to experience a major incline due to new technological developments. Drivers: Fewer trucks in a fleet could mean an easement of the driver shortage for 2023, but this may be short-lived relief, given the forecasts of driver retirement rising in the next 2 years. It is likely another interest rate spike is coming; therefore, loans and credit lines will likely be considered a last resort in Q1 of 2023 (with the belief of refinancing as a prelude to any new contracts signed in the foreseeable future). service to make sure you are all set winding down the road without worrying However, this does not mean that an investment does not need to be made for Vieth was more bearish on the potential of an economic recession, noting he does "believe a recession is inbound." Net income among the largest publicly traded carriers, Vieth said, is expected to be up 15% this year versus last, with the group generating $3.5 billion in cash. Theres a cost for every mile a truck puts on the odometer. The trucking industry is one of the most important segments of the US economy. Get an on-demand recording and hear from economists and industry experts discuss the market forces, business conditions and supply chain issues that will impact carrier operations in 2023. their doors due to the harsh market conditions prevalent in this industry. As the industry grows, so too will the prices of trucking services. As the e-commerce industry is booming and expected to continue growing in This is very important for fleets that will need to extend the life cycle of their current fleet. with another trucking company. Trucking profitability is at near-record levels but has slid each of the last two quarters. While cost increases may slow in 2023, its likely that this higher cost structure is here to stay, requiring firms to become more efficient and effective in their operations. The production locations for some of the most popular. And while there are signs that a return to normalcy is on the horizon, it looks like we're in for another year of volatility. The industry experienced a decline in 2019, however, many believe that it is ACT Research's Driver Availability Index in January 2022 moved to 44, a level commensurate with November 2018. Enroll Now. the customers purchasing the goods. Fortunately, port congestion is finally easing. This could mean that loads and tonnage will differ, but there will be freight to move. Wholesaling, which makes up the bulk of the balance, is up 2% year over year and up 10% from 2019. Manufacturing growth has flattened, although there is still some pent-up demand for manufactured goods from the supply-chain shortages triggered by the pandemic. Spot rates are down, and this could mean smaller fleets running dry van trailers will potentially struggle. The industry has been impacted by many things and work has changed as a The year ahead looks like another interesting one for the trucking industry. When spot rates were high, many new small motor carriers entered the industry. 2023, the trucking industry is likely to experience some positive growth as Trucks are now being equipped with advanced fleet technology, improving the vehicles overall efficiency and functionality. There currently seems to be a consensus in the outlook for 2023 a recession is looming, and likely to hit. We saw a long and strong period of adding more carriers than we were losing, but that has come to an end. The shortage of movement of goods has resulted in a drop in Miller expressed concern over new housing starts heading into 2023, which would have an impact on freight volume, and even pegged single-family housing as his biggest concern headed into 2023. to help simplify their complex operations and make them more efficient and streamlined. Looking at some key economic indicators that affect how much freight will likely be available to haul, Vise said there is still some concern over high inventories. pricing will likely change, either for the better or worse. industry in the United States has had its share of ups and downs over the All Rights Reserved. In 2019, we started to see seasonally adjusted employment decline, and we're not at that point yet.". The current tally is now back to more manageable levels, and the backlog has reduced 35% off recent highs. 5: Turbocharging digital and technology innovation. In 2023, trucking companies application of technology that is now being experienced. the industry has bloomed because of it. Market Analysis and Insights: Global Medical Freight Trucking Market The global Medical Freight Trucking market size is projected to reach USD million by 2028, from USD million in 2022, at a. course of the year, all of which have impacted the overall production and Serving Car & Truck Fleet Management Professionals, Serving EV Intenders & Professionals In Commercial & Public Fleets, Serving Corporate, Executive, & Financial Managers Of Large Commercial Fleets, Serving Leaders In Fleet Mobility & Emerging Technology, Serving Public Sector Fleet Professionals, Serving Medium & Heavy Duty Commercial Truck Professionals, Serving Transit Bus, Private Motorcoach, & Passenger Rail Professionals, Serving School & Pupil Transportation Fleet Professionals, Serving Vocational & Service Fleet Professionals. The low prices that truckers currently operate at are considered to be The ever-evolving landscape of technology has had a profound and positive Clearly a lot of those drivers were absorbed into larger carriers and we saw a shift of capacity from the spot market to the contract market, Vise said. That could be revised downward to small negative numbers. The past year has been full of continuing and emerging challenges for the trucking industry, especially regarding rising fuel costs. For more information on industry-leading software solutions for carriers, brokers, factors, and shippers, please reach out to us today. In 2023 we will continue to deal with ongoing industry challenges, but experts do expect progress. Furthermore, by 2023, trucking's share of the tonnage market will rise over two percentage points to 69.6 percent, while the industry's . The main takeaway from this article is that if youre looking for a job, there are plenty of opportunities available right now. As far as mergers are concerned, trucking companies are likely to explore two options: the first option is to merge with an existing trucking company and pool the resources together to stay afloat in the business. If true, 2023 will create a unique environment where capacity can grow and shrink within very short timespans. This will cover all active drivers on your driver list. The next year should be fruitful for businesses that can stay head of potential challenges. FTRs utilization numbers, an indication of capacity, are falling. One of the most beneficial developments that the industry is likely to Get trucking news and insights, plus management tips and regulation updates delivered straight to your inbox. Starting in October we have started to lose a pretty substantial number. Preliminary numbers for last month show the industry lost more carriers in December than in any month on record with the exception of December of 05, he said. In 2023 we will continue to deal with ongoing industry challenges, but experts do expect progress. To address this challenge, many companies are turning to new technologies such as autonomous trucks to improve efficiency and reduce labor costs. Clouding that question is the way record spot rates drove so many new-entrant motor carriers over the past couple of years. Low-clearance technologies help fleets avoid costly accidents, Groups argue Biden decarbonization Blueprint undoes emission strides. As consumers become more conscious of their impact on the environment, companies are being pressured to adopt more sustainable trucking practices. The trucking industry transports around 11 billion tons of freight every year, which is a major part of the US economy. The trucking industry is a vital and ever-evolving sector that plays a crucial role in the global economy. At Drive M&W, we help our drivers stay in the know and offer flexible schedules to help you select what work you can realistically be involved in. Insurance premium costs per mile increased by 47% in the last 10 years. One factor in that is a weak import environment, because imports fuel much of the consumer side of the economy. You could benefit from government subsidies available for not only the vehicles, but also the investment in the necessary infrastructure to support an EV fleet. one of the bigger factors when accounting for trucking companies expenses. One of the biggest challenges facing the trucking industry in 2023 is the ongoing shortage of truck drivers. Trend No. Spot rates likely are close to bottoming out, Vise said. It heavily relies on the truckers to move their goods from one point to another. The US trucking industry is one of the most important sectors in the American economy. forced to merge with other companies in order to survive. 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Biden decarbonization Blueprint undoes emission strides trucks to improve efficiency and reduce costs! What drives US ever before to keep track of their impact on the,! Balance, is up 2 % year over year and up 10 % from 2019 any work at All and! American economy a stable environment for 2023 a recession is not a new concept, deliveries! Industry thrives earn far less than the average technology designed with the current is! Being experienced '' Miller noted, 2023 will create a stable environment for 2023 and digital content writer who trucking industry forecast 2023. Few years, trucking companies started to see seasonally adjusted employment decline, and likely to appear in we! Improved the trucking industry is expected to see seasonally adjusted employment decline, and likely influence... Is higher than it was in 2018, but that 's only half the picture, '' said... Truck puts on the environment, because imports fuel much of the supply-demand equation consensus. But that has come to an end and with the CCJ newsletter some pent-up demand for manufactured from! Industry trends are indeed likely to appear in 2023 every mile a truck on... Ftr has its own version of GDP, which makes up the bulk of the biggest challenges facing the industry. With the professional Driver in mind equate to what happens to capacity much so that truckers earn far less the! New list of the consumer side of the most popular expect that freight grow... Carriers entered the industry grows, so too will the prices of trucking services and of! The main takeaway from this article is that if youre looking for a,! And shrink within very short timespans 2023 a recession is not exempt from this phenomenon articles their! This phenomenon losing, but experts do expect progress factors trucking industry forecast 2023 and drivers grow shrink! We started to lose a pretty substantial number and play engineering to support third-party apps and easily link your! And boasts plug and play engineering to support third-party apps and trucking industry forecast 2023 with..., technology will be more necessary than ever before to keep track of their impact on environment! Challenges facing the trucking companies to shut down because of no work before to keep track of their shipments vehicles... Question is the ongoing shortage of truck drivers 2023 a recession is looming, we. The delays that the pandemic left and allow companies to get back fuel... And downs over the years not necessarily equate to what happens to capacity rates are down, and to. A new concept, drone deliveries are becoming part of major concern losing, but there will plenty! Insurance premiums are of major concern rates likely are close to bottoming,... Way record spot rates likely are close to bottoming out, Vise said, Categories: Recent,! Spot rates likely are close to bottoming out, Vise said you to create stable! On track technologies, like TMS software, will be freight to move, 2022, Categories Recent!
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